Thursday, October 24, 2013

A Historical Approach to the Syrian Conflict

Shiran Zecharya
GVPT200
Response Paper 3

            As political turbulence and sectarian conflict continue to shackle the unitary Syrian Republic, the United States, the American public, and the international community remain in discord in terms of how to put an end to the humanitarian crisis and ensure geopolitical stability in a post-war Syria. Some tend to sympathize with the Syrians’ suffering but maintain that it is not the US’ duty to take on the role of a global policeman. This isolationist perspective, while popular, is not novice in foreign policy and has been employed and proven unsuccessful in the Rwandan Genocide when President at the time, Bill Clinton, was reluctant to respond to the massacre of the Tutsi minority because of the US’ failed intervention in Somalia the previous year. As the number of Syrian refugees and casualties continues to multiply, world leaders cannot afford to repeat their old mistakes; they must learn from their failures, hold on to strategies that have benefited them and discard ones that have not in order to improve their ability to respond to international crisis and maintain consistency in addressing issues of human rights.
            International Relations Scholars often draw historical parallels between the Syrian Civil War and the Rwandan Genocide in terms of US response. In both cases, the United States has rhetorically opposed the aggressors, Hutu Rwanda and Assad’s Syria, but has failed to definitively protect the victims of brutality. Most attribute US leadership’s lack of action in Rwanda to their failure to instill peace in a war-torn Somalia the year before; since intervention was unsuccessful in Somalia, the US did not want to invest their resources in ending a conflict that they believed would end the same way. Similarly, the American public is unwilling become involved in the Syrian conflict following unpopular interventions the decade before in both Iraq and Afghanistan. While there are key differences in the two situations, such as the sophistication of weaponry used, analysts often classify US foreign policy in addressing the Rwandan Genocide as a major failure for not only the Rwandan people, but for the promise of human rights as a whole. Furthermore, although it is not the United States’ job to directly intervene and protect human rights wherever violations exist, history does not tend to favorably portray powerful leaders who fail to act when dictators, such as President Assad, relentlessly massacre innocents and children by means of conventional and chemical weaponry for over two years and face little to no consequence.

            As the plea for democracy continues to resonate in the wake of a new century, it is the duty of society to apply pressure on their leaders to aid individuals who suffer at the hand of oppressors. The solution to peace in Syria is not black and white; there are many courses of action that could bring about unintended consequences such as arming the rebels and unilateral military intervention, and conversely, many policies that could facilitate progress in the region such as working in collaboration with other influential actors to exert smart power, supporting countries who take in refugees, ensuring that goods and services get to innocents in volatile regions of the war-torn country and maintaining a strong international presence in the region if and when Assad falls and political instability ensues. It is the hope of future global leaders to stand by human rights not only in rhetoric but also in meaningful action.

3 comments:

  1. While this is a worthwhile comparison of a worst case scenario, how confident are you that the two cases are similar. Syria is certainly a stronger state (making intervention less likely to be successful) and we don't yet see the same level of carnage that we saw in Rwanda. So why do you think these cases are similar? Not saying they aren't, just wondering...

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  2. I completely agree that they are not 100% similar, Especially since in Rwanda, the Hutus were primarily using machetes and in Syria, Assad's regime is using everything from conventional bombing to chemical weapons. I also think that a successful humanitarian mission would have been a lot more simpler in Rwanda than in Syria because the Assad regime holds such a tight grip on the military and like you said it is a stronger state as a whole than Rwanda was in 1994. Also, in terms of time frame, there is a huge difference between the two; the Rwandan Genocide left almost a million people dead in a matter of a few months while the Conflict in Syria has been going on for more than two years and the death toll is over 100,000 and refugee count is over 2 million people.

    The main similarities I saw when comparing and contrasting the two are the fact that the main reason the US was hesitant to intervene was because of previous failures in their respective regions (Somalia/Rwanda and Afghanistan and Iraq/Syria). Furthermore, Russia is providing arms and in a way protecting the Assad regime diplomatically as France did to the Hutus in Rwanda. I also think the most convincing reason why it is important to compare the two is the fact that Rwanda is one of the most notorious examples of what happens when the international community fails to act in cases of genocide and mass killings. The international community has ignored charters/declarations that call for collective action in humanitarian crises and in genocide and such hypocrisy will continue as the conflict in Syria continues to escalate as it did in Rwanda.

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  3. You mention in your last paragraph on potential solutions that although there is gray area, powerful countries could work together to make progress and provide help to the refugees. However, this has been considered by many countries but none are willing to take the risk. There has been mention of safety zones bordering Turkey but no one is willing to make the effort. You said the U.S. is reluctant because of past experiences with Iraq/Iran but to what do you attribute other countries lack of motivation?

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